Advertisement
Review Article| Volume 16, ISSUE 12, P1103.e1-1103.e19, December 01, 2015

Clinical and Safety Outcomes of Oral Antithrombotics for Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation: A Systematic Review and Network Meta-analysis

Published:October 30, 2015DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jamda.2015.09.008

      Abstract

      Introduction

      Novel oral anticoagulants (NOACs) expanded the options for stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation (AF). Earlier studies comparing their relative effectiveness and safety typically do not incorporate age-related differences or postmarketing studies. This study aimed to summarize and compare clinical and safety outcomes of oral antithrombotics for stroke prevention in AF in younger (65–74 years) and older (≥75 years) elderly.

      Methods

      We searched PubMed, Embase, and The Cochrane Library from inception through May 1, 2015, for randomized and nonrandomized studies comparing NOACs, warfarin, and aspirin in elderly with AF. Stroke and systemic embolism (SSE) and major bleeding (MB) are the main outcomes. We also studied secondary outcomes of ischemic stroke, all-cause mortality, intracranial bleeding, and gastrointestinal bleeding.

      Results

      Of 5255 publications identified, 25 randomized controlled trials and 24 nonrandomized studies of 897,748 patients were included. NOACs reduced the risk of SSE compared with warfarin (rate ratios [RRs] range from 0.78–0.82). Relative to SSE, NOACs demonstrated a smaller benefit for ischemic stroke (dabigatran 110 mg, RR 1.08; edoxaban, 1.00; apixaban, 0.99). On the contrary, aspirin was associated with a significantly higher risk of SSE, ischemic stroke, and mortality than warfarin or NOACs (RR > 1), particularly in older elderly. Regarding safety, medium-dose aspirin (100–300 mg daily) and aspirin/clopidogrel combination showed an increased risk of MB compared with warfarin (RR 1.17 and 1.15, respectively), as per dabigatran 150 mg and rivaroxaban in older elderly (RR 1.17 and 1.12, respectively). Among the NOACs, dabigatran 150 mg conferred greater gastrointestinal bleeding risk compared with warfarin (RR 1.51), whereas rivaroxaban (RR 0.73) demonstrated less benefit of reduced intracranial bleeding than other NOACs (RRs range 0.39–0.46).

      Conclusions

      Lower rates of SSE and intracranial bleeding were observed with the NOACs compared with warfarin. Dabigatran 150 mg and rivaroxaban were associated with higher rates of MB in older elderly.

      Keywords

      To read this article in full you will need to make a payment

      Purchase one-time access:

      Academic & Personal: 24 hour online accessCorporate R&D Professionals: 24 hour online access
      One-time access price info
      • For academic or personal research use, select 'Academic and Personal'
      • For corporate R&D use, select 'Corporate R&D Professionals'

      Subscribe:

      Subscribe to Journal of the American Medical Directors Association
      Already a print subscriber? Claim online access
      Already an online subscriber? Sign in
      Institutional Access: Sign in to ScienceDirect

      References

        • January C.T.
        • Wann L.S.
        • Alpert J.S.
        • et al.
        2014 AHA/ACC/HRS Guideline for the Management of Patients With Atrial Fibrillation: Executive Summary: A Report of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Task Force on Practice Guidelines and the Heart Rhythm Society.
        J Am Coll Cardiol. 2014; 64: 2246-2280
        • Keeling D.
        • Baglin T.
        • Tait C.
        • et al.
        Guidelines on oral anticoagulation with warfarin-fourth edition.
        Br J Haematol. 2011; 154: 311-324
        • Cameron C.
        • Coyle D.
        • Richter T.
        • et al.
        Systematic review and network meta-analysis comparing antithrombotic agents for the prevention of stroke and major bleeding in patients with atrial fibrillation.
        BMJ Open. 2014; 4: e004301
        • Ruff C.T.
        • Giugliano R.P.
        • Braunwald E.
        • et al.
        Comparison of the efficacy and safety of new oral anticoagulants with warfarin in patients with atrial fibrillation: A meta-analysis of randomised trials.
        Lancet. 2014; 383: 955-962
        • Ansell J.
        New oral anticoagulants should not be used as first-line agents to prevent thromboembolism in patients with atrial fibrillation.
        Circulation. 2012; 125 (discussion 170): 165-170
        • Lip G.Y.
        • Laroche C.
        • Dan G.A.
        • et al.
        ‘Real-world’ antithrombotic treatment in atrial fibrillation: The EORP-AF pilot survey.
        Am J Med. 2014; 127: 519-529.e1
        • Eikelboom J.W.
        • Wallentin L.
        • Connolly S.J.
        • et al.
        Risk of bleeding with 2 doses of dabigatran compared with warfarin in older and younger patients with atrial fibrillation: An analysis of the randomized evaluation of long-term anticoagulant therapy (RE-LY) trial.
        Circulation. 2011; 123: 2363-2372
        • Hori M.
        • Matsumoto M.
        • Tanahashi N.
        • et al.
        Rivaroxaban vs. warfarin in Japanese patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation in relation to age.
        Circulation. 2014; 78: 1349-1356
        • Papanikolaou P.N.
        • Christidi G.D.
        • Ioannidis J.P.
        Comparison of evidence on harms of medical interventions in randomized and nonrandomized studies.
        CMAJ. 2006; 174: 635-641
        • Hernandez I.
        • Baik S.H.
        • Pinera A.
        • Zhang Y.
        Risk of bleeding with dabigatran in atrial fibrillation.
        JAMA Intern Med. 2015; 175: 18-24
        • Abraham N.S.
        • Singh S.
        • Alexander G.C.
        • et al.
        Comparative risk of gastrointestinal bleeding with dabigatran, rivaroxaban, and warfarin: population based cohort study.
        BMJ (Clinical research ed.). 2015; 350: h1857
        • Lauffenburger J.C.
        • Farley J.F.
        • Gehi A.K.
        • et al.
        Effectiveness and safety of dabigatran and warfarin in real-world us patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation: A retrospective cohort study.
        J Am Heart Assoc. 2015; 4 (pii: e001798)
        • Larsen T.B.
        • Rasmussen L.H.
        • Gorst-Rasmussen A.
        • et al.
        Myocardial ischemic events in ‘real world’ patients with atrial fibrillation treated with dabigatran or warfarin.
        Am J Med. 2014; 127: 329-336.e4
        • Landis J.R.
        • Koch G.G.
        The measurement of observer agreement for categorical data.
        Biometrics. 1977; 33: 159-174
      1. Sterne JAC, Higgins JPT, Reeves BC on behalf of the development group for ACROBAT-NRSI. A Cochrane Risk Of Bias Assessment Tool: for Non-Randomized Studies of Interventions (ACROBAT-NRSI), Version 1.0.0, 24 September 2014. Available at: http://www.riskofbias.info. Accessed May 18, 2015.

        • Higgins J.P.
        • Altman D.G.
        • Gotzsche P.C.
        • et al.
        The Cochrane Collaboration's tool for assessing risk of bias in randomised trials.
        BMJ (Clinical research ed.). 2011; 343: d5928
        • White I.R.
        Multivariate random-effects meta-regression: Updates to mvmeta.
        Stata Journal. 2011; 11: 255-270
        • Chaimani A.
        • Higgins J.P.
        • Mavridis D.
        • et al.
        Graphical tools for network meta-analysis in STATA.
        PLoS One. 2013; 8: e76654
        • Jackson D.
        • Barrett J.K.
        • Rice S.
        • et al.
        A design-by-treatment interaction model for network meta-analysis with random inconsistency effects.
        Stat Med. 2014; 33: 3639-3654
        • Hutton B.
        • Salanti G.
        • Caldwell D.M.
        • et al.
        The PRISMA extension statement for reporting of systematic reviews incorporating network meta-analyses of health care interventions: Checklist and explanations.
        Ann Intern Med. 2015; 162: 777-784
        • Gomez Quintanilla A.R.
        • Paredes Galan E.
        • Guitian Gonzalez A.
        • et al.
        O4.03: Dabigatran etexilate and rivaroxaban show different safety and efficacy profile in very elderly patients with non valvular atrial fibrillation.
        Eur Geriatr Med. 2014; 5: S72
        • Ho M.H.
        • Ho C.W.
        • Cheung E.
        • et al.
        Continuation of dabigatran therapy in “real-world” practice in Hong Kong.
        PLoS One. 2014; 9: e101245
        • Giugliano R.P.
        • Ruff C.T.
        • Braunwald E.
        • et al.
        Edoxaban versus warfarin in patients with atrial fibrillation.
        N Engl J Med. 2013; 369: 2093-2104
        • Granger C.B.
        • Alexander J.H.
        • McMurray J.J.V.
        • et al.
        Apixaban versus warfarin in patients with atrial fibrillation.
        N Engl J Med. 2011; 365: 981-992
        • Connolly S.J.
        • Eikelboom J.
        • Joyner C.
        • et al.
        Apixaban in patients with atrial fibrillation.
        N Engl J Med. 2011; 364: 806-817
        • Patel M.R.
        • Mahaffey K.W.
        • Garg J.
        • et al.
        Rivaroxaban versus warfarin in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation.
        N Engl J Med. 2011; 365: 883-891
        • Connolly S.J.
        • Ezekowitz M.D.
        • Yusuf S.
        • et al.
        Dabigatran versus warfarin in patients with atrial fibrillation.
        N Engl J Med. 2009; 361: 1139-1151
        • Connolly S.J.
        • Pogue J.
        • Hart R.G.
        • et al.
        Effect of clopidogrel added to aspirin in patients with atrial fibrillation.
        N Engl J Med. 2009; 360: 2066-2078
        • Connolly S.
        • Pogue J.
        • et al.
        • ACTIVE Writing Group of the ACTIVE Investigators1
        Clopidogrel plus aspirin versus oral anticoagulation for atrial fibrillation in the Atrial fibrillation Clopidogrel Trial with Irbesartan for prevention of Vascular Events (ACTIVE W): A randomised controlled trial.
        Lancet. 2006; 367: 1903-1912
        • Connolly S.J.
        • Laupacis A.
        • Gent M.
        • et al.
        Canadian Atrial Fibrillation Anticoagulation (CAFA) study.
        J Am Coll Cardiol. 1991; 18: 349-355
        • Fontaine G.V.
        • Mathews K.D.
        • Woller S.C.
        • et al.
        Major bleeding with dabigatran and rivaroxaban in patients with atrial fibrillation: A real-world setting.
        Clin Appl Thromb Hemost. 2014; 20: 665-672
        • Staerk L.
        • Olesen J.B.
        • Torp-Pedersen C.
        • et al.
        Risk of gastrointestinal adverse effects of dabigatran etexilat compared with warfarin among patients with atrial fibrillation.
        Eur Heart J. 2014; 35: 1115
        • Laliberte F.
        • Cloutier M.
        • Nelson W.W.
        • et al.
        Real-world comparative effectiveness and safety of rivaroxaban and warfarin in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation patients.
        Curr Med Res Opin. 2014; 30: 1317-1325
        • Forslund T.
        • Wettermark B.
        • Wandell P.
        • et al.
        Risks for stroke and bleeding with warfarin or aspirin treatment in patients with atrial fibrillation at different CHA(2)DS(2)VASc scores: Experience from the Stockholm region.
        Eur J Clin Pharmacol. 2014; 70: 1477-1485
        • Hansen M.L.
        • Sorensen R.
        • Clausen M.T.
        • et al.
        Risk of bleeding with single, dual, or triple therapy with warfarin, aspirin, and clopidogrel in patients with atrial fibrillation.
        Arch Intern Med. 2010; 170: 1433-1441
        • Lip G.Y.
        • Skjoth F.
        • Rasmussen L.H.
        • Larsen T.B.
        Oral anticoagulation, aspirin, or no therapy in patients with nonvalvular AF with 0 or 1 stroke risk factor based on the CHA2DS2-VASc Score.
        J Am Coll Cardiol. 2015; 65: 1385-1394
        • Connolly S.J.
        • Pogue J.
        • et al.
        • ACTIVE Investigators
        Effect of clopidogrel added to aspirin in patients with atrial fibrillation.
        N Engl J Med. 2009; 360: 2066-2078
        • Hellemons B.S.P.
        • Langenberg M.
        • Lodder J.
        • et al.
        Primary prevention of arterial thromboembolism in non-rheumatic atrial fibrillation in primary care: Randomised controlled trial comparing two intensities of coumarin with aspirin.
        BMJ. 1999; 319: 958-964
        • Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation Investigators
        Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation Study. Final results.
        Circulation. 1991; 84: 527-539
        • Sato H.
        • Ishikawa K.
        • Kitabatake A.
        • et al.
        Low-dose aspirin for prevention of stroke in low-risk patients with atrial fibrillation: Japan atrial fibrillation stroke trial.
        Stroke. 2006; 37: 447-451
        • Posada I.S.
        • Barriales V.
        Alternate-day dosing of aspirin in atrial fibrillation.
        Am Heart J. 1999; 138: 137-143
        • Fang M.C.
        Implications of the new atrial fibrillation guideline.
        JAMA Intern Med. 2015; 175: 850-851
        • Dogliotti A.
        • Paolasso E.
        • Giugliano R.P.
        Current and new oral antithrombotics in non-valvular atrial fibrillation: A network meta-analysis of 79 808 patients.
        Heart. 2014; 100: 396-405
        • Biondi-Zoccai G.
        • Malavasi V.
        • D'Ascenzo F.
        • et al.
        Comparative effectiveness of novel oral anticoagulants for atrial fibrillation: Evidence from pair-wise and warfarin-controlled network meta-analyses.
        HSR Proc Intensive Care Cardiovasc Anesth. 2013; 5: 40-54
        • Schneeweiss S.
        • Gagne J.J.
        • Patrick A.R.
        • et al.
        Comparative efficacy and safety of new oral anticoagulants in patients with atrial fibrillation.
        Circulation. 2012; 5: 480-486
        • Lim W.S.
        • Ding Y.Y.
        Evidence-balanced medicine: “Real” evidence-based medicine in the elderly.
        Ann Acad Med Singapore. 2015; 44: 1-5
        • Ezekowitz M.D.
        • Reilly P.A.
        • Nehmiz G.
        • et al.
        Dabigatran with or without concomitant aspirin compared with warfarin alone in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (PETRO Study).
        Am J Cardiol. 2007; 100: 1419-1426
        • Halperin J.L.
        • Hankey G.J.
        • Wojdyla D.M.
        • et al.
        Efficacy and safety of rivaroxaban compared with warfarin among elderly patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation in the rivaroxaban once daily, oral, direct factor xa inhibition compared with vitamin k antagonism for prevention of stroke and embolism trial in atrial fibrillation (ROCKET AF).
        Circulation. 2014; 130: 138-146
        • Hori M.
        • Matsumoto M.
        • Tanahashi N.
        • et al.
        Rivaroxaban vs. warfarin in Japanese patients with atrial fibrillation - the J-ROCKET AF study.
        Circ J. 2012; 76: 2104-2111
        • Halvorsen S.
        • Atar D.
        • Yang H.
        • et al.
        Efficacy and safety of apixaban compared with warfarin according to age for stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation: Observations from the ARISTOTLE trial.
        Eur Heart J. 2014; 35: 1864-1872
        • Ogawa S.
        • Shinohara Y.
        • Kanmuri K.
        Safety and efficacy of the oral direct factor xa inhibitor apixaban in Japanese patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation. -The ARISTOTLE-J study.
        Circulation. 2011; 75: 1852-1859
        • Kato E.T.
        • Giugliano R.P.
        • Ruff C.T.
        • et al.
        Efficacy and safety of edoxaban for the management of elderly patients with atrial fibrillation: Engage AF-TIMI 48.
        Circulation. 2014; 130: A16612
        • Yamashita T.
        • Koretsune Y.
        • Yasaka M.
        • et al.
        Randomized, multicenter, warfarin-controlled phase II study of edoxaban in Japanese patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation.
        Circulation. 2012; 76: 1840-1847
        • Weitz J.I.
        • Connolly S.J.
        • Patel I.
        • et al.
        Randomised, parallel-group, multicentre, multinational phase 2 study comparing edoxaban, an oral factor Xa inhibitor, with warfarin for stroke prevention in patients with atrial fibrillation.
        Thromb Haemost. 2010; 104: 633-641
        • Chung N.
        • Jeon H.K.
        • Lien L.M.
        • et al.
        Safety of edoxaban, an oral factor Xa inhibitor, in Asian patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation.
        Thromb Haemost. 2011; 105: 535-545
        • Liu X.
        • Huang H.
        • Yu J.
        • et al.
        Warfarin compared with aspirin for older Chinese patients with stable coronary heart diseases and atrial fibrillation complications.
        Int J Clin Pharmacol Ther. 2014; 52: 454-459
        • Mant J.
        • Hobbs F.R.
        • Fletcher K.
        • et al.
        Warfarin versus aspirin for stroke prevention in an elderly community population with atrial fibrillation (the Birmingham Atrial Fibrillation Treatment of the Aged Study, BAFTA): A randomised controlled trial.
        Lancet. 2007; 370: 493-503
        • Rash A.
        • Downes T.
        • Portner R.
        • et al.
        A randomised controlled trial of warfarin versus aspirin for stroke prevention in octogenarians with atrial fibrillation (WASPO).
        Age Ageing. 2007; 36: 151-156
        • Gullov A.L.
        • Koefoed B.G.
        • Petersen P.
        Bleeding during warfarin and aspirin therapy in patients with atrial fibrillation: The AFASAK 2 Study.
        Arch Intern Med. 1999; 159: 1322-1328
        • Gullov A.L.
        • Koefoed B.G.
        • Petersen P.
        • et al.
        Fixed minidose warfarin and aspirin alone and in combination vs adjusted-dose warfarin for stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation: Second Copenhagen Atrial Fibrillation, Aspirin, and Anticoagulation Study.
        Arch Intern Med. 1998; 158: 1513-1521
        • Petersen P.
        • Godtfredsen J.
        • Andersen B.
        • et al.
        Placebo-controlled, randomised trial of warfarin and aspirin for prevention of thromboembolic complications in chronic atrial fibrillation. The Copenhagen AFASAK study.
        Lancet. 1989; 1: 175-179
        • Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation Investigators
        Warfarin versus aspirin for prevention of thromboembolism in atrial fibrillation: Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation II Study.
        Lancet. 1994; 343: 687-691
        • Connolly S.J.
        • Laupacis A.
        • Gent M.
        • et al.
        Canadian Atrial Fibrillation Anticoagulation (CAFA) Study.
        J Am Coll Cardiol. 1991; 18: 349-355
        • Ng K.
        • Shestakovska O.O.
        • Eikelboom J.W.
        • et al.
        Apixaban versus aspirin in atrial fibrillation patients >75 years old: An analysis from the AVERROES trial.
        Stroke. 2013; 44: e187
        • Chang H.Y.
        • Zhou M.
        • Tang W.
        • et al.
        Risk of gastrointestinal bleeding associated with oral anticoagulants: population based retrospective cohort study.
        BMJ (Clinical research ed.). 2015; 350: h1585
        • Lleva P.
        • Aronow W.S.
        • Gutwein A.H.
        Prevalence of inappropriate use of digoxin in 136 patients on digoxin and prevalence of use of warfarin or aspirin in 89 patients with persistent or paroxysmal atrial fibrillation.
        Am J Ther. 2009; 16: e41-e43
        • Strunets A.
        • Mirza M.
        • Cho C.
        • et al.
        Safety and efficacy of rivaroxaban and dabigatran in octa- and nonagenerians with atrial fibrillation: A community-based experience.
        J Am Coll Cardiol. 2014; 63
        • Bengtson L.
        • Chen L.
        • MacLehose R.
        • et al.
        Comparative effectiveness of dabigatran and rivaroxaban versus warfarin in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation.
        Circulation. 2014; 130: A20218
        • Graham D.J.
        • Reichman M.E.
        • Wernecke M.
        • et al.
        Cardiovascular, bleeding, and mortality risks in elderly medicare patients treated with dabigatran or warfarin for nonvalvular atrial fibrillation.
        Circulation. 2015; 131: 157-164
        • Larsen T.B.
        • Gorst-Rasmussen A.
        • Rasmussen L.H.
        • et al.
        Bleeding events among new starters and switchers to dabigatran compared with warfarin in atrial fibrillation.
        Am J Med. 2014; 127 (e655): 650-656
        • Larsen T.B.
        • Rasmussen L.H.
        • Skjoth F.
        • et al.
        Efficacy and safety of dabigatran etexilate and warfarin in “real-world” patients with atrial fibrillation: A prospective nationwide cohort study.
        J Am Coll Cardiol. 2013; 61: 2264-2273
        • Sorensen R.
        • Gislason G.
        • Torp-Pedersen C.
        • et al.
        Dabigatran use in Danish atrial fibrillation patients in 2011: A nationwide study.
        BMJ Open. 2013; 3 (pii: e002758)
        • Kantharia B.K.
        • Shah A.N.
        Combination of clopidogrel and aspirin for reduction of vascular events in patients with atrial fibrillation.
        Expert Rev Cardiovasc Ther. 2009; 7: 749-753
        • Holmes Jr., D.R.
        • Fountain R.
        Stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation: WATCHMAN versus warfarin.
        Expert Rev Cardiovasc Ther. 2009; 7: 727-729
        • Shalimar S.
        • Pangtey G.S.
        • Singh K.K.
        Clopidogrel plus aspirin in atrial fibrillation.
        N Engl J Med. 2009; 361: 1314
        • Ho J.C.
        • Chang A.M.
        • Yan B.P.
        • et al.
        Dabigatran compared with warfarin for stroke prevention with atrial fibrillation: Experience in Hong Kong.
        Clin Cardiol. 2012; 35: E40-E45
        • Lip G.Y.
        • Skjoth F.
        • Rasmussen L.H.
        • Larsen T.B.
        Oral anticoagulation, aspirin, or no therapy in patients with nonvalvular AF with 0 or 1 stroke risk factor based on the CHA2DS2-VASc score.
        J Am Coll Cardiol. 2015; 65: 1385-1394
        • Richard T.
        • Butaffuoco F.
        • Vanhaeverbeek M.
        Clopidogrel plus aspirin in atrial fibrillation.
        N Engl J Med. 2009; 361: 1313