Abstract
Objectives
Design
Setting and Participants
Methods
Results
Conclusions and Implications
Keywords
Purchase one-time access:
Academic & Personal: 24 hour online accessCorporate R&D Professionals: 24 hour online accessOne-time access price info
- For academic or personal research use, select 'Academic and Personal'
- For corporate R&D use, select 'Corporate R&D Professionals'
Subscribe:
Subscribe to Journal of the American Medical Directors AssociationReferences
- Department of Economic and Social Affairs, United Nations. World Population Prospects.
- Tackling the challenges to health equity in China.Lancet. 2008; 372: 1493-1501
- Reform of how health care is paid for in China: challenges and opportunities.Lancet. 2008; 372: 1846-1853
- Long-term care system for older adults in China: policy landscape, challenges, and future prospects.Lancet. 2020; 396: 1362-1372
- China Civil Affairs Statistical Yearbook: Statistics on China Social Services.China Social Publishing House, 2021
- Long-term care needs and related issues in China.in: Social Sciences in Health Care and Medicine. Nova Science Publishers, 2008: 52-84
- China’s policy experimentation on long-term care insurance: implications for access.Int J Health Plann Manage. 2019; 34
- Direct medical costs of hospitalisations for mental disorders in Shanghai, China: a time series study.BMJ Open. 2017; 7e015652
- Implications of changes in households and living arrangements for future home-based care needs and costs for disabled elders in China.J Aging Health. 2015; 27: 519-550
- A Projection Method for Public Health and Long-Term Care Expenditures, OECD Economics Department Working Papers, No. 1048. OECD Publishing, Paris2013
- Survival, disabilities in activities of daily living, and physical and cognitive functioning among the oldest-old in China: a cohort study.Lancet. 2017; 389: 1619-1629
- Use of formal and informal care services among older people in Ireland and France.Eur J Health Econ. 2010; 11: 499-511
- Toward deeper research and better policy for healthy aging – using the unique data of Chinese longitudinal healthy longevity survey.China Economic J. 2012; 5: 131-149
- Healthy Longevity in China: Demographic, Socioeconomic, and Psychological Dimensions.Springer, 2008
- National Data.nHttps://Data.Stats.Gov.Cn/Easyquery.Htm?C=C01&zbDate accessed: April 25, 2020
- Economic Outlook No 103 - July 2018 - Long-term baseline projections.
- Minimum wage rates.http://www.mohrss.gov.cn/ldgxs/LDGXqiyegongzi/LDGXzuidigongzibiaozhun/Date accessed: March 25, 2020
- Determinants of long-term care spending: age, time to death or disability?.J Health Econ. 2011; 30: 425-438
- Smearing estimate: a nonparametric retransformation method.J Am Stat Assoc. 1983; 78: 605-610
- A structured review of long-term care demand modelling.Health Care Manag Sci. 2015; 18: 173-194
- Projecting the number of elderly with cognitive impairment in china using a multi-state dynamic population model: projecting the number of elderly with cognitive impairment in China.Syst Dyn Rev. 2017; 33: 89-111
- A long-term-care status transition model.Bowles symposium on the old-age crisis: Actuarial opportunities. Georgia state university, 1996: 8
- An introduction to markov modelling for economic evaluation.Pharmacoeconomics. 1998; 13: 397-409
- Trends in functional disability and cognitive impairment among the older adult in China up to 2060: estimates from a dynamic multi-state population model.BMC Geriatr. 2021; 21: 380
- Preferences for formal social care in rural and urban China: evidence from a national survey.J Gerontol Soc Work. 2020; 63: 19-40
Article info
Publication history
Footnotes
This work was sponsored by the National Major Science and Technology Projects of China (2020YFC2005600), the National Natural Science Foundation of China (72004201), the Economic and Social Research Council South Coast Doctoral Training Partnership (ES/P000673/1), and the National Institute on Aging (R01AG077529; K01AG053408; P30AG021342). The data analyzed in this report were provided by the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey (CLHLS), which has been jointly supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (71490732) and the National Key R&D Program of China (2018YFC2000400), China. The funders had no role in study design, collection, analysis, and interpretation of data.
YS conceived the study and HJ, CW contributed to the design of the study. CW acquired funding for the research. YS, HJ, SP reviewed the literature. HJ, YS, CW developed the methods. HJ conducted statistical analysis and created figures and tables. YP replicated the analysis to verify statistical rigor. HJ and CW wrote the first draft of remaining manuscript. YS, XC, XL, DW, SP, YP, YL, HL provided critical feedback on the first draft, including the analysis and interpretation of data, and YS and DW contributed to the writing of subsequent drafts of the manuscript. YS and CW managed the estimation process. All the authors gave final approval of this manuscript. Each author fulfills each of authorship requirements.
It was not appropriate or possible to involve patients or the public in the design, or conduct, or reporting, or dissemination plans of our research.
CLHLS was approved by Research Ethics Committees of Peking University (IRB00001052–13074). All interviewees were required to provide informed consent.
The authors declare no conflicts of interest.
All analyses were performed using Stata v 17.0 (Stata Corp).